Louisiana
W-L: ( 4-25) PR = 92.1814Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 67-82 1110 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 38-** 1114 H Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 64-66 1125 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 64-70 1128 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 62-77 1129 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 48-61 1202 H Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 47-72 1207 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 54-61 1217 H TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 55-62 1220 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 58-76 101 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 54-80 103 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 56-81 108 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 51-61 110 H TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 43-55 115 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 34-75 117 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 58-** 121 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 69-66 123 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 48-68 129 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 45-96 131 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 54-95 204 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 61-72 207 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-71 212 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 55-71 214 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 57-54 218 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 61-83 221 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 66-92 227 H Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 68-74 303 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 71-66 304 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 63-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Bowling Grn 67-82 -15 -2 -0.35
1110 H Texas 38-** -62 -7 0.00
1114 H Nicholls 64-66 -2 0 -1.56
1125 H Memphis 64-70 -6 -1 -0.91
1128 H High Point 62-77 -15 -2 -0.01
1129 H Fresno St 48-61 -13 -1 -0.54
1202 H Ea Texas A&M 47-72 -25 0 -1.90
1207 H Morehead St 54-61 -7 -2 -0.47
1217 H TX St-SM 55-62 -7 -1 -1.23
1220 H So Miss 58-76 -18 -2 -0.43
101 H Troy 54-80 -26 -3 0.00
103 H So Alabama 56-81 -25 -1 -0.51
108 H LA-Monroe 51-61 -10 -2 -0.22
110 H TX St-SM 43-55 -12 -1 -1.23
115 H Arkansas St 34-75 -41 -3 0.00
117 H LA-Monroe 58-** -44 -2 -0.22
121 A Coastal Car 69-66 3 -1 + 3.40
123 H App State 48-68 -20 -1 -0.94
129 H Jam Madison 45-96 -51 -3 0.00
131 H Marshall 54-95 -41 -3 0.00
204 H Old Dominion 61-72 -11 -2 0.00
207 A Akron 82-71 11 0 + 2.21
212 H Troy 55-71 -16 -3 0.00
214 A So Alabama 57-54 3 -2 + 3.51
218 H So Miss 61-83 -22 -2 -0.43
221 H Arkansas St 66-92 -26 -3 0.00
227 H Georgia St 68-74 -6 -1 -1.00
303 A Georgia St 71-66 5 -1 + 3.02
304 H LA-Monroe 63-79 -16 -2 -0.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 121 A Coastal Car 69-66 3 -1 + 3.40 207 A Akron 82-71 11 0 + 2.21 214 A So Alabama 57-54 3 -2 + 3.51 303 A Georgia St 71-66 5 -1 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 67-82 -6.05 4.91 -0.01 1.05 -3.17
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 38-** -0.81 10.15 -0.01 1.05 -0.43
3 H Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 64-66 -7.27 3.69 -0.01 1.05 -3.81
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 64-70 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.05 -3.47
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 62-77 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.05 -3.00
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 48-61 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.05 -3.27
3 H Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 47-72 -7.61 3.35 -0.01 1.05 -3.99
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 54-61 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.05 -3.24
3 H TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 55-62 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.05 -3.64
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 58-76 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 54-80 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 56-81 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 51-61 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 H TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 43-55 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.05 -3.64
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 34-75 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.61
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 58-** -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 69-66 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.05 9.71
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 48-68 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.05 -3.48
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 45-96 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.05 -2.23
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 54-95 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.05 -2.52
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 61-72 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 1.05 -2.84
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 82-71 -7.52 3.44 0.01 1.05 7.22
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 55-71 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 57-54 -6.22 4.74 0.01 1.05 9.95
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 61-83 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 66-92 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.61
3 H Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 68-74 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.05 -3.51
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 71-66 -6.70 4.26 0.01 1.05 8.93
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 63-79 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
------
-39.39
|
winning pts = 35.7965 losing points = -75.1832
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------